Friday, May 27, 2011

NBA Finals Preview - Miami vs. Dallas

By John McMullen

Miami Heat:            2nd Seed, East (58-24)
Dallas Mavericks:      3rd Seed, West (57-25)

Five years  after  Miami  won  its  first and  only  NBA championship  over  the Dallas Mavericks, the  two teams are set to meet again for the league's biggest prize starting Tuesday in south Florida.

The  Heat won the  championship back in 2006, roaring back from an 0-2 deficit
to win four straight, becoming just the third team to win a title after losing
the first two games in the NBA Finals.

That series marked both Dallas' and Miami's first appearance in the finals and
was  the coming  out party  for Heat  guard Dwyane  Wade, who  was named  Most
Valuable Player of the set.

Pat  Riley has moved from the bench in 2006 to the front office in South Beach
and  was the architect of one of the most successful offseasons in NBA history
coming  into  the  2010-11  season.  In addition  to  re-signing  Wade,  Riley
completed  trades  for perennial All-Stars  LeBron James and Chris Bosh, while
successfully  re-signing Udonis Haslem and Joel Anthony and inking a number of
solid role players.

The  Heat  amassed  58 wins  and  garnered  the  second  seed in  the  Eastern
Conference before slicing through Philadelphia, Boston and top-seeded Chicago,
all in five games.

James  and Wade  rallied the Heat from  a late deficit on Thursday and carried
Miami  into the  NBA Finals with an 83-80  victory over the Bulls in Game 5 of
the East finals.

Trailing by 12 with a little over three minutes to play, Wade and James shared
the  load  during a game-altering 16-2  run, which included James putting in a
go-ahead jumper with 29.5 seconds remaining.

"We  honestly don't know  what happened. It went so fast," James said. "I want
to go back and watch the last four minutes."

The  dramatic come-from-behind win sets up a rematch of the '06 Finals, as the
Mavericks wrapped up the Western Conference on Wednesday.

"This  was  emblematic of everything we've  been through this year," Heat head
coach  Erik Spoelstra said. "We had to go through the fire again. The majority
of  the game was not going our way, but we've built up a lot of resiliency and
we made enough plays down the stretch."

A  game  after rallying  from 15  points down  with under  five minutes to go,
Dallas  rallied  from an  eight-point,  fourth-quarter  hole on  Wednesday  to
capture the West crown with a 100-96 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder in
Game 5.

Dirk  Nowitzki  drained the go-ahead three  with just over one minute to play,
part  of  a 26-point, nine-rebound  night. Shawn  Marion also scored 26 points
with eight rebounds and J.J. Barea donated 14 points for Dallas.

"Our  goal now is to win four more games no matter who we play in the Finals,"
Mavs  guard  Jason Terry  said. "This time  around it's even  going to be more
special.  We're going to  leave it all out there on the floor and this is what
you play for."

Dallas,  which also  disposed of  Portland  and swept  the two-time  defending
champion  Lakers in  this year's  postseason, comes  into this  series with  a
more  defensive-minded club that the '06 team, a better coach in Rick Carlisle
and  a  matured Nowitzki, who  has a better understanding  of how to trust his
teammates in big situations.

The  Mavs  swept the home-and-home season  series with the Heat in the regular
season.  In fact, after their slow start Miami went on a 22-2 run with both of
those  losses to Dallas. The teams only previous meeting in the postseason was
the '06 Finals.


MATCHUPS:

POINT  GUARD: Dallas  sports a ton of experience at quarterback in 38-year-old
Jason  Kidd,  a future  Hall of  Famer who owns  107 career triple-doubles and
moved  into third place on the all-time steals list this season behind Michael
Jordan  and John Stockton. Kidd is a 16-year veteran who thinks pass first and
excels  in  finding scorers  in the  spots they like.  He is, however, lacking
quickness  at this  stage, although his hands  at the defensive end may be the
best in the game.

"He's  one  of our superstars.  It's as simple  as that," Carlisle said. "When
he's  on the court, it elevates our overall confidence, and then he impacts so
many  areas.  You're talking  about a guy  that's one of  the greatest ever to
play."

Miami has its own veteran in Mike Bibby, a playoff tested guy on his last legs
as  a player.  A  defensive  cardboard cutout  these  days,  Bibby does  still
provide  a  steady  hand  with  the  ball  and  can  hit  a  standstill  three
occasionally  but he is very limited and isn't on the floor when things count.
Spoelstra  has  been using  James and Wade  as the ball  handlers in late game
situations.

EDGE: MAVS


SHOOTING  GUARD:  Wade, the  NBA  Finals  MVP in  2006  and  a former  scoring
champion,  remains  an athletic marvel and  one of the league's best finishers
around  the  rim. He  can  also  handle  the  playmaking role,  something  his
transition   and   penetration  skills   are  tailor-made  for.  He  struggled
offensively in the Chicago series with a balky left shoulder but the Heat have
insisted  that the injury is not an issue. Wade shot just 40.5 percent against
the  Bulls  and seemed to defer  at times, but did  hit three key shots in the
final minutes of the clincher.

"There's  nothing  significant, other  than the normal  bumps and bruises from
this  really  combative series,"  Spoelstra  said  when talking  about  Wade's
injury.

For  Dallas, DeShawn Stevenson is a defensive-minded player with good size and
strength.  The  skill level is  just not  there offensively for major minutes,
however.

EDGE: HEAT


CENTER:  Tyson Chandler has proven he can stay healthy in Dallas and is a big-
time  defensive presence who can alter shots, protect the rim and dominate the
boards  when motivated. In the regular season, the Heat shot 66 percent within
three-feet of the bucket. Against Chandler and the Mavs that plummeted to just
52 percent.

Throughout  the  playoffs the Heat  have played  much better when Joel Anthony
has  manned the pivot. Anthony, a defensive-minded, under-sized center that is
very  long  and a natural  shot-blocker relies on  length and energy to create
problems.

EDGE: MAVS


SMALL  FORWARD:  James has  reestablished his  spot as the  best player in the
game  during  these playoffs.  An unbelievable  athlete with freakish strength
and size, when the  jumper is falling he is virtually unstoppable offensively.
James  has also matured after a disastrous, selfish and narcissistic final few
months  in Cleveland. His "Decision" to publicly spurn the Cavs on ESPN turned
off the entire country and morphed him into the games' biggest villain.

While  most will swoon over his monster shots in tight situations, James' true
progression  in  these playoffs  came  on  the other  end  of  the floor.  His
willingness  to  check Derrick Rose  down the  stretch is something that never
happened  in Cleveland.  LeBron, who  is averaging  26.0 points  per game  and
pulling  down  8.9 rebounds per  game during the  playoffs, has always had the
lateral  movement  and length to  guard any perimeter  player in the NBA. With
a  championship  in sight,  he finally  took the  plunge and became everything
people thought he could be.

Shawn  Marion  is a tireless  defender and solid, albeit unorthodox, offensive
player but faces a tall task here. Marion averaged more than 10 points and six
rebounds  in his  second full  season with  Dallas and  upped that  a bit  the
playoffs.

"Shawn  is a  guy that has had  such an underrated career," Carlisle said. "If
you  look at his stats for his career, you know, he's top five in almost every
Phoenix Suns category. He's been a franchise type player for a lot of years.

"Our team was built differently than the run and gun Suns and he really had to
reinvent  his game to some degree to figure out the way he was going to fit in
with  us. I give  him a lot of credit. He's proven right now to everybody that
he's about one thing, and that's winning."

EDGE: HEAT


POWER  FORWARD: Never  a  top-tier on-ball  defender,  Nowitzki has  developed
into  a solid  help  defender and  is much  tougher  these days.  Offensively,
Nowitzki  has unquestionably  been  the  best player  in  this postseason  and
swiped   the  mantle  of  best  closer  from  Kobe  Bryant.  He  is  averaging
28.4  points per game on 51.7 percent shooting, snaring 7.5 boards and made an
amazing 59-of-61 free throws against OKC.

His  rainbow  fadeaway is unstoppable  at times  and made Charles Barkley gush
"Nobody  can guard  that guy."  Carlisle  recently called  him one  of the  10
greatest players ever.

Bosh  is one  of the best offensive  power forwards in the game after Nowitzki
and  a plus  rebounder. He can, however, wilt against nasty players that crave
contact  but that  doesn't exactly describe Dirk  . All in all, Bosh is by far
the  best third-option  in basketball but will have a very tough time handling
Nowitzki.

EDGE: MAVS


BENCH: The Heat have morphed their bench from series to series but with Udonis
Haslem  and Mike Miller playing well again after injuries, things are far more
predictable now. Those two along with point guard Mario Chalmers get the major
minutes for Spoelstra

Haslem, a a good rebounder  with a  solid mid-range jumper, missed most of the
season  after tearing a tendon in his left foot in November. He's back now and
brings a certain toughness and energy to the Heat that was missing.

The  sharp-shooting Miller  has struggled with injuries to both his thumbs but
showed  signs  against Chicago,  especially in  Game 4. When  Miller is on the
weakside  and hitting  threes, it  helps open  the floor  for the  Heat's "Big
Three."

Chalmers,  meanwhile,  offers  speed  and quickness  but  is  an  inconsistent
player  and streaky  shooter that  will turn  it over  and take  bad shots  on
occasion.

James  Jones and Eddie House can also stretch the floor for Spoelstra at times
while  Juwan  Howard,  Zydrunas  Ilgauskas and  Jamaal  Magloire  can  provide
situational minutes  up front.

"Our bench is very important," Wade said. "It won't show up in the statistics.
What  those guys do for us ... is the reason that we are who we are and in the
position we are."

Jason  Terry, who is  netting 17.3 ppg in the playoffs, is Dallas' top scoring
option  after  Nowitzki and  can really  take over  a game  when the jumper is
falling.  "The Jet"  also gives  the Mavs  a second  big-time closer  in tight
situations.

J.J. Barea is a solid backup point guard that excels as a penetrater and kick-
out  guy,  while Peja Stojakovic's  run as a big-time  scorer is over but he's
still  a  very good pure  shooter that can station  himself on the weakside to
take advantage of any double teams Nowitzki might see.

Brendan  Haywood  also gives Carlisle a  third big body and impressive length.
Meanwhile,  depending on the game Carlisle could use Corey Brewer, likely as a
defensive option to throw at James or Wade.

EDGE: EVEN


COACHING:  Carlisle has a solid offensive and defensive pedigree and is one of
the  more underrated coaches  in the game. He has morphed the Mavs from a run-
and-gun  team that had  to outscore you to win into a more well-balanced bunch
that  can the job  done in a number of different ways. He also gets along with
volatile Mavs owner Mark Cuban.

"Dirk  I know  is excited. Look, this  is what our season has been about. It's
been  about advancing and getting an opportunity for a title, because it's the
one  thing that  he and Jason haven't  done, and Jason Terry and Shawn Marion,
and  Stojakovic," Carlisle said. "We've got some guys with some very decorated
careers  here  that have  taken on different  types of roles  on a team that's
building  a strength  in numbers  type team.  It's exciting,  but my  sense is
we're very grounded."

Spoelstra,  a Riley  disciple, first  joined the  Heat in  1995 as  the team's
video  coordinator  and  moved  up  from there.  He  helped  the  team  bounce
back   from  an  ugly   15-67  mark   in  2007-08  and,  like  Riley, preaches
defense and conditioning.

"We  had a team of nine new players. A lot of new components." Spoelstra said.
"We're  trying  to build a  team philosophy, build  up a defensive system. And
then  work  on building a half  court system where guys feel comfortable, even
though they have slightly different roles."

EDGE: MAVS


PREDICTION:  Dirk  and Dallas bested Oklahoma  City in five games while LeBron
and  his Heat did the same to Chicago. The series were almost mirror images as
both  the Thunder  and Bulls  would play  well at  times but  falter down  the
stretch as Nowitzki and James would take over.

So who executes better in this series?

The  Mavs will need  to exploit the point guard play of Bibby and Chalmers and
take  advantage of  Miami's lack of size  inside. The Heat will have to figure
out  a way to  deal with Dallas' length and understand, no matter how good the
defense is, Dirk is getting off his shot in late-game situations.

"I  think the Mavs  have a really good chance and I think they're going to win
the  [Finals] series,"  Barkley said. "Dirk Nowitzki is in the moment and they
are  in the Finals. I like this Mavs team. The stuff that the Heat did against
the  Bulls  won't work [against the  Mavericks]. They are going to score. They
aren't offensively-challenged like the Bulls are."

Conventional  wisdom, however,  says you need two superstars to win in the NBA
these says and James' "Robin" happens to be Wade while Nowitzki is left having
to  carry almost all the water for Dallas down the stretch of close games much
like Derrick Rose in Chicago.

Nowitzki  is certainly better-equipped to handle what's being asked of him and
does  have  better weakside options  but expecting  him to climb this mountain
might be a little too much to ask for.

"Defense  and staying  together,"  James  said of  the  Heat's fourth  quarter
success  in the  postseason. "We've been in these situations before when we've
been down late in the fourth [quarter] and we just buckle down defensively and
execute. It's no sense of relief right now. We still have work to do."

HEAT in 6.

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