Showing posts with label Push for the Peach. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Push for the Peach. Show all posts

Thursday, March 29, 2007

Georgetown is Here -- to Win it All

By Jared Trexler
The Phanatic Magazine

Now four days removed from the unveiling of a new basketball building in Chapel Hill, the Final Four ascends upon downtown Atlanta -- a cultural and tourist haven full of transplant Northeastern businessmen, fine dining and multiple night spots to wet any pallet.
By the way, that new basketball building in the heart of North Carolina's campus was built with bricks -- the same ones thrown up over the final 10-plus minutes of the East Regional Final.
Finishing your season 1-of-20 from the floor is never a good conclusion, but instead of reveling in the Tar Heels' utter offensive collapse, credit should be given where credit is due.
Georgetown is the best defensive unit left standing -- yes, not UCLA --, and that's the reason the Hoyas will cut down the nets in the Georgia Dome on Monday night.
Jonathan Wallace and Jesse Sapp play longer than their respective 6-1 and 6-3 frames, and both are the basketball equivalent of jacked. It's one thing to have muscle, it's another to use that muscle to dictate tempo, throw off rhythm, drain an opposing backcourt.
That's why the team that never wears down was left with its collective hands on its hips during overtime. There was no doubt Georgetown was the fresher team in the face of Roy Williams' 12-man turnstile over the course of 45 minutes.
The Hoyas are also multi-faceted, ever-changing in their defensive approach, going zone late in the game with seven-foot tower Roy Hibbert clogging the middle. Georgetown is long enough on the perimeter and instinctive enough to anticipate skip passing. And then there is the art of basketball IQ -- to which the Hoyas' basic fundamental defensive shifting resembles a Van Gogh painting.
When playing man defense, you better believe there is an overplay just one pass away. Three passes away from Tar Heel swingman Reyshawn Terry? Jeff Green's butt is firmly planted in the middle of the paint.
That's what makes the defense so suffocating. It's not the pressure, it's the relentless nature. And the flexibility, as there aren't many players like Green left in college basketball. A 6-9 forward with a guard's feet to man up Ty Lawson one possession and a bruiser's strength to front Tyler Hansbrough on the post just minutes later.
This is all basketball lingo for very good -- but because the Hoyas don't have Greg Oden's NBA appeal, Joakim Noah's hair or Aaron Afflalo's name, they are the forgotten team in Atlanta this weekend.
Just the way they want it.
With all the attention going to Billy Donovan's Kentucky love affair and the Gators' road to a repeat, Ohio State's fabulous freshmen and its bumpy road to Atlanta and UCLA's suffocating defense coupled with its rematch against Florida, there isn't much attention left to go around.
Again, fine with the soft-spoken John Thompson III, the pass-first, go-to-guy Green and the turn-back-the-clock, Afro and high-tops Hibbert.
It would be dangerous to assume the Hoyas are centered on Green's mid-range game and Hibbert's back-to-the-basket hooks and hoops. Wallace is shooting 56 percent (9-of-16) from beyond the arc during the tournament, while Summers and Sapp have also made six three-pointers.
The unforgotten trio played large against North Carolina on both ends, with Summers pouring in 20 points, Sapp adding 15 and Wallace scoring 19 -- including the game-tying three from the left wing near the end of regulation.
They also excelled on the defensive end of the floor, pressuring Lawson and fellow freshman Wayne Ellington to the point of physical submission. In overtime, North Carolina's two perimeter targets didn't have their legs.
Throwing stiff-legged shot puts instead of high-arching majestic jump shots was the cumulative effect of no-nonsense defensive fundamentals.
Conley can dance. Noah can scream. UCLA head coach Ben Howland can bend down in a defensive stance. It's all flashy for the camera, but it won't last over 40 minutes.
Georgetown isn't going to Hoops Hollywood this weekend, it is entering college basketball's test of attrition -- one they already won against the team that never got tired.
Until it faced the Hoyas.
The new brick building in Chapel Hill should have a plaque at its entrance, "Courtesy of Georgetown basketball. The 2007 national champions."
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Jared Trexler can be reached at jtrexler@phanaticmag.com

Monday, March 19, 2007

How Sweet It Is


By John Gottlieb
The Phanatic Magazine

While there is nothing quite like the first week of the tourney (48 games in four days -- and don't tell me the play-in game counts -- buzzerbeaters and upsets), the field has been chopped to 16 teams in search of the cutting down the coveted nets in the Georgia Dome on April 2nd. As Jared Trexler has written the tourney started off with a fizzle before the weekend reminded us why we are so enthralled with these three weeks.

Saturday opened with Ohio State somehow staying alive, while Greg Oden was given the benefit of the doubt when all hope in Columbus seemed lost. However, Ron Lewis kept their title hopes alive. And that was only the beginning.

Texas A&M and Louisville, Vanderbilt and Washington State and VCU and Pitt kept all of us indoors in the Northeast as we were digging ourselves out of a small spring snowfall.

Sunday saw UNLV beat a highly overrated Wisconsin club that disappeared when the games really counted and USC (that's right I'm talking about Taj Gibson and Nick Young, not John David Booty and Dwayne Jarrett) sent Kevin Durant to the NBA a few days closer than most people expected.

There's no real George Mason, but there are a couple interesting contenders left standing.

With that let's rank the 16 clubs still vying for NCAA supremacy in order of likelihood to be hoisting the NCAA Championship trophy.

16) Butler - A.J. Graves still has the Bulldogs alive despite falling in the Horizon conference tournament. They protect the ball, make clutch shots and play fantastic defense, but they're going up against the Gators, who haven't really had to put forth much effort to make it the Sweet 16. Butler's defense needs to play their best game of the season to keep playing. They are 21-1 when holding teams to 60 points or less.

15) Southern Illinois - The Salukis have three players that score in double figures led by Jamaal Tatum. They also focus on defense to keep the score low. Starting forward Matt Shaw missed the last game with a sprained ankle and is not expected to play this weekend. Southern Illinois is going to need all the help it can get against a run-and-gun Kansas team that is full of weapons.

14) Vanderbilt - Derrick Byars is a threat from anywhere on the floor for the Commodores, who rely on the trey. There is always a problem with teams that depend on the deep threat...at some point the shots stop falling. Vandy struggles on the boards and will have problems with Roy Hibbert. Look for a replay of the season-opening 86-70 loss to the Hoyas.

13) USC - The Trojans are in the Sweet 16 one year earlier than most thought, as O.J. Mayo, the top prospect in the country, will be in SoCal next year. The average 15 turnovers and game and Roy Williams and the Tar Heels have a week to get ready, meaning bad news for Tim Floyd.

12) UNLV - The Runnin' Rebels are the lowest remaining seed, but they certainly haven't played like a No. 7. Kevin Kruger is the heart-and-soul of the team and loves having the ball in his hands. UNLV has got a dominant middleman in Joel Anthony, who swats away shots better than anyone in the country, but he doesn't bring much offense. The Rebels need to slow the fast-paced Oregon attack to have a shot.

11) Oregon - The Ducks are filled with versatile players that can shoot and drive to the hoop. You can be down by double-digits if you blink on Oregon. The Rebels are going to have to stop Aaron Brooks, but if they double team him then Bryce Taylor or Tajuan Porter will make them pay. Oregon should be good for at least one more game before it must deal with the defending national champions.

10) Memphis - Pardon me but I'm not drinking the Memphis Kool-Aid. The Tigers play in a weak conference and if you take away winning in Spokane versus Gonzaga they've beaten absolutely no one. If Chris Douglas-Roberts, who tweaked his left ankle against Nevada, doesn't play then it should be a long game for Memphis. Their press causes problems but Acie Law IV should be able to handle the pressure. Despite what the box score said against the Wolf Pack the Tigers are incredibly poor at the line. However, you can't underestimate John Calipari as an ultimate motivator.

9) Pittsburgh - It seems that Aaron Gray has gotten past the struggles the plagued his game in the Big East tournament. The Panthers were lucky to hold off Virginia Commonwealth after blowing a big lead. This is another team that leaves something to be desired at the line. If Gray is taken out of his game then the Panthers have problems putting points on the board, but UCLA doesn't have a ton of size. This game could be a struggle at times to watch. This contest has 55-50 written all over it. If you're looking for a barnburner don't tune in.

8) Tennessee - I have them ranked higher than most, but Chris Lofton and the Volunteers' high-powered offense can give Ohio State a lot of problems. This will be one the best games of the weekend. Lofton is a phenomenal talent with a great well-rounded game. JuJuan Smith has got the outside touch and Wayne Chism is a threat inside and out. They can't let the Buckeyes pull too far in front or Tennessee is in trouble. The Vols are going to have to double Greg Oden when he gets the ball and hope the freshman makes mistakes in the offense. Bruce Pearl is quickly proving himself to be one of the best coaches in basketball.

7) Texas A&M - Down by six to Louisville with time winding down the Aggies didn't panic and were not to be stopped playing in Kentucky against Rick Pitino. Now they get to play in San Antonio. If Acie Law is taken out of his game, which is easier said than done, then A&M will be in trouble, but they've also got Antanas Kavaliauskas on the inside and Josh Carter. A lot of people have Texas A&M getting to Atlanta and it they'll get one step closer after Memphis.

6) UCLA - Overachievers? Underachievers? Who knows, but this team has a lot of starters that were in this same position last year. This game means a little more, as Ben Howland used to coach Pitt before moving on to the Bruins. Jamie Dixon was a member of his staff and the two remain close. UCLA was cruising against Indiana before letting the Hooisers get back in the contest. The Bruins have a great backcourt with Aaron Afflalo and Darren Collison but don't get a lot from their bench. It's hard to predict what team will show up. Will it be the team that lost by seven to Cal in the first round of the Pac-10 tourney, or the squad that was 13-2 against tournament teams? Remember no team has ever won the Big Dance after losing in the first round of their conference tournament.

5) North Carolina - Tennesse-Ohio State will be close but no matchup is more hyped than the impending contest against the Hoyas. You can't look ahead but with Tyler Hansbrough now done with the facemask and back to scoring (33 points against Michigan State) the Tar Heels should be able to handle the Trojans. This is the deepest team in the tournament when it comes to talent and Roy Williams is one of the best coaches on the hardwood. UNC starts three freshmen but their youth hasn't been a detriment to the club. They had a shaky moment against Easten Kentucky and against the Spartans before pulling away. While Hansbrough and the three frosh get all the attention, you can't sleep on Reyshawn Terry. The Tar Heels haven't lost a game by more than eight all season so USC will have to keep it close to have a chance.

4) Georgetown - The Hoyas are the only reason why the Tar Heels aren't ranked any higher. John Thomson III has this team looking like the teams of the 80s. Georgetown has won 17 of its last 18 games and has got weapons inside and out. Jeff Green was the Big East Player of the Year and will rebound after having a subpar game against Boston College. But when Green struggled Roy Hibbert was there to pick him up. He had a huge second half, scoring 15 of his 17 points in the final frame to go along with 12 rebounds. The 7-2 center is a headache to defend. The Hoyas are going to have to rely on Hibbert to get past Vandy, which has nobody to defend him. A young backcourt is the only downside to the club. Georgetown vs. North Carolina could be better than the title game.

3) Kansas - After UNC the Jayhawks have the most weapons to defend against. Who does Southern Illinois set up its defense to guard against? Brandon Rush? Mario Chalmers? Julian Wright? Sherron Collins? The offense is balanced and methodical, hitting 55 percent of their shots in the first two games of the tourney. Kansas likes to get out and run while shutting opponents down on the defensive end, leading the Big 12 in field goal percentage defense. Bill Self is an excellent coach that doesn't get talked about as much as he should. The Jayhawks cannot allow the Salukis to slow the pace of the game.

2) Ohio State - You don't win titles without a little bit of luck involved. The Buckeyes got that on Saturday against intrastate rival Xavier. If Justin Cage doesn't miss that free throw or if the Musketeers foul Lewis before letting him shoot the game-tying three then I'm not even writing this paragraph. Greg Oden should've been hit with an intentional foul, and if he was there's a chance he's not playing on Saturday. The Buckeyes won't get that lucky again. They've got a tough test with Chris Lofton, but Oden should be able to dominate the contest. Mike Conley Jr. is a little inconsistent but that's the case with a freshman point guard. Thad Matta goes nine-deep, including Ron Lewis, Jamar Butler, Ivan Harris and Daequan Cook, who can all hit from beyond the arc. And they will have to be spot-on against the Vols, who will double up Oden. Early foul trouble from Oden may change the complexion of the contest. If the Buckeyes fall behind like they did against Xavier then Tennessee won't look back. However, look for a similar close contest like the one played between these two teams in mid-January when Ohio State won 68-66.

1) Florida - They are the champions until they are defeated. It's a testament to Billy Donovan that he somehow convinced all his players to return after winning the title last year. That's just not the college basketball landscape anymore. The Gators have hardly broken a sweat in an easily paved path to Atlanta. Yes, Jackson State and Purdue both led at points late in the first half but did the Gators ever look worried. This team exudes confidence and it starts at the top. Joakim Noah and Al Horford rule the paint, while Corey Brewer is a slasher that is not afraid to attack bigger defenders inside. Taurean Green runs the offense and Lee Humphrey is the consistent outside threat. And then Chris Richard is an excellent sixth man. This team is stacked from top to bottom. The only question mark surrounding the Gators is will they be ready when they finally face the stiff competition from the West region winner? Come April 2 we'll see Florida at the Georgia Dome, but can they pull off the repeat? There hasn't been a back-to-back winner since Duke did it 15 years ago. The pressure won't get to Florida but there are a number of teams on the other side of the bracket that could give them a serious run.

It should be a fantastic two weeks.
P.S. Less than 13 days away from the Mets and Cardinals on Opening Night.
It doesn't get any better than this.

March Madness Diary

By Jared Trexler
The Phanatic Magazine

For how boring Thursday and Friday truthfully were in the NCAA Tournament, the lack of shock resulted in spectacular shot making and down-to-the-wire contests between great teams carried by great players over the weekend.

Perhaps, for the first time this century, the cream truly rose to the top. All four top seeds -- not without Ron Lewis' heroics and Tyler Hansbrough save the mask -- advanced to the Sweet 16, with just second-seeded Wisconsin the only of the top eight seeded clubs not left standing.

That leaves us with high-quality teams led by high-quality coaches managing high-quality players. I'm no mathematician, but that should equal some quality games come Thursday.

Until then, let's recap the Saturday-Sunday action. All friends, family and others have been given nicknames to protect their identity.

Saturday

1. Three pool sheets sit in front of me as Xavier-Ohio State are about to tip. One is "my" pool -- we'll call that the "expert" pool. The other bracket will be aptly dubbed "Lipton", while the final pool is a blank bracket to correctly keep track of the action.

2. Ohio State-Xavier tip off in Lexington. "Lipton's" pool has the Buckeyes cutting down the nets, while I have Oden's crew falling to Acie Law and Texas A&M in the Elite Eight. I suddenly find myself cheering for Justin Doellman and Drew Lavender.

3. Napoli Pizza in Brick, New Jersey has the best subs. Seriously, you can't find a quarter pound of meat and cheese lathered in oil and vinegar placed atop fresh baked bread in this area. I haven't finished a sandwich there yet because of their size. Back to the action...

4. Halftime in Lexington. Buckeyes only up 4. I've swayed half of the room into Musketeer Nation. I've attempted to remain neutral, if only to save me from costly harm.

5. Did anyone see that Rock-Paper-Scissors commercial? Guy throws out paper, and the other guy literally throws a rock. Now I know why high-ranking advertising gurus make such good money.

6. Speaking of good money, I'm seeing some in my future as Doellman comes alive and Justin Cage can't miss -- until later. Xavier builds a nine-point lead with three minutes left and Cage hasn't missed (8-of-8) from the floor.

7. Cheers from the peanut gallery -- "Lipton's brother". "Let's go Xavier!" "Let's go Xavier!" I'm silent on the outside, joining in the cheers inside.

8. All hell breaking out in Lexington. Two-point game and Cage about to take the line. "Lipton's" pool about to join the bonfire I built in my head. She can't even watch. I can -- quietly smiling.

9. Cage, who again hasn't missed a field goal all game, misses the second of two free throws. I'm guessing Xavier coach Sean Miller will order a foul -- up three against a deadly outside shooting team in the final seconds. Instead, Lewis chucks up a 30-foot prayer that is answered. I close my eyes in anguish, knowing full well the Buckeyes will roll in OT. "Lipton" executes a bicycle kick the Karate Kid would be proud of in happiness. Her bracket is saved.

10. A break in the action for some St. Patrick's Day shopping. Maryland falls to Butler, and my Final Four club Texas A&M is in a battle with Louisville. Several calls are placed to Nate, my biological sibling. He keeps me abreast of the action. "Lipton" gets wind the Aggies are down, she cackles in pleasure.

11. "Lipton" takes time out to plan the night's festivities. I'm left to screaming at the TV -- "Give the ball to Law!!!" They do just enough, and Cardinals guard Edgar Sosa makes several critical errors in the final minute. Aggies win, and the "expert" bracket is still going strong.

12. Believe it or not, both "Lipton" and the "expert" picked Vandy, so Shan Foster and Keith Byars draining threes is no news to us. VCU's Sweet 16 dream, again identical on our brackets, ends to Pitt. I theorize that "Lipton" copied my bracket, only to realize seconds later that was impossible.

13. Night games: North Carolina-Michigan State and Indiana-UCLA. I watch the first half as I throw on a shirt with some jeans. "Lipton" is ready to roll -- and we are off, minus any knowledge of college hoops.

14. Upon arriving at one of "Lipton's" best friend's house, I suck down some Jager and Red Bull -- a decision I would pay dearly for later. Another UNC fan arrives and flips on the game -- North Carolina's eight-point halftime lead is gone and the Spartans pull in front with just over eight minutes to play.

15. I listen to the remaining minutes in a taxi with "Cab Driver A", a nice lady with a heavy foot. Simma down "Cab Driver A"! North Carolina holds on, and UCLA wins once the drinks start flowing that evening.

Sunday

1. What really is March Madness? I'm starting to think it was the previous night's festivities, and not this 64-team NCAA hoops tournament.

2. "Lipton" is prepared for another day of hoops, which reminds me of a great story about the NCAA Tournament. On Thursday night, in a conversation with five other hoops junkies, we each admitted our girlfriend's/significant others were beating us in the bracket.

Logic for picking teams?
1. Sororities
2. Colors
3. Schools my friends go to
4. Research, yes, research. "Lipton" did her homework. On the record, Ohio State pulled through against Xavier in large part to upperclassmen Lewis and Jamar Butler. "Lipton" calls that team chemistry.

3. The first game is pivotal. Virginia-Tennessee. "Lipton" insists she meant to pick "Virginia" instead of writing "Albany." Despite pleas for understanding, the loss stands. A guy needs to play tough when he is on the ropes...

4. The day goes as well as expected for me. Tennessee gives me an edge, as does Oregon and Southern Illinois. "Lipton" picks up Memphis and still leads 46 points to 45 points after the first weekend.

5. On a final note, what if my national champion (North Carolina) and "Lipton's" national champion (Ohio State) meet in the national semifinals? We discussed the possibility in length, agreeing that I would go into seclusion or maybe ship her on a week's vacation to the Virgin Islands (kidding). For all guys out there, how would you handle the situation?

6. On one last final note, this is why I love March Madness. "Lipton" went from hoops novice to bicycle kicks in four days. Two co-workers, "Red Hair" and "Yellow Shirt" are overheard discussing Kansas' chances at the Monday morning water cooler.

May the Sweet 16 be just as sweet -- not for "Lipton," but for the expert.
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You can reach Jared Trexler at jtrexler@phanaticmag.com

Thursday, March 15, 2007

Push for the Peach: Midwest Region

The Phanatic Magazine reveals staff Final Four predictions and displays the entire "Push for the Peach" preview section on Thursday morning.

By Jeff Glauser
The Phanatic Magazine

AT A GLANCE: With teams as fundamentally different as their schools and locations, this eclectic region could bode to be the most exciting to watch play out. Though some may tout this as “Florida and the Rest,” some intriguing matchups might just bring early upsets to high seeds – and early elimination to many a pool participant. The trendy picks are Davidson over an underachieving Maryland or Old Dominion over once-hot/now-cold Butler.

Of course, the biggest storyline is, can the Gators become the first repeat champions since Duke in 1991-92? Though the general consensus is that they boast the nation’s best starting five (in juniors – and probable ’07 lottery picks – Joakim Noah and Al Horford, juniors Corey Brewer and Taurean Green and senior Lee Humphrey), recent tournament history proves that there is no such thing as a sure thing. Just ask no-doubt-about-it UConn, Stanford, Illinois and Duke in recent years.

Other questions: Can Alando Tucker carry Wisconsin? Can Oregon stay hot from behind the arc? Can Butler regain its early season swagger? Will the glass slipper fit Winthrop, Old Dominion or Davidson?

REGION STRENGTH: Depends on how one looks at it. Talent-wise, it may be at the bottom of the pack, as pedigrees and team depth – Gators notwithstanding – are few. However, from a competitive standpoint – because of presumed parity – this is the place to be.

DEAR MR. COMMITTEE: Defending Champ (and #1 seed) Florida in the Midwest, having to go through New Orleans and St. Louis to make it back to the Final Four, doesn’t seem very fair. So much for home court advantage. A # 4 seed for Maryland, which as recently as six weeks ago lost five of eight games, seems a bit high.

TEAM-BY-TEAM GLANCE:

#1 FLORIDA GATORS (29-5, 13-3 SEC)

What to Like: Perhaps the country’s best starting five. Experience – and success – in tourney play. Coach Billy Donovan is one sharp dude. Nice combination of size and talent. Every other team in the bracket certainly has its share of flaws.

What Not to Like: Borderline arrogance sometimes makes for complacency. How badly do they want to cut down the nets again? Are Noah and Horford looking ahead to the NBA? Losses to conference rivals Vanderbilt, LSU and Tennessee showed that, once they fall behind early, it’s extremely difficult for them to come back. In fact, Florida trailed by five or more at halftime in each of its losses this year.

Last until... they forget that every team in the tourney came to play – and no one is intimidated. In this writer’s eyes, a Sweet Sixteen shocker is not necessarily out of the question.

#2 WISCONSIN BADGERS (29-5, 13-3 BIG TEN)

What to Like: How quickly people forget that, just a month ago, Wisconsin was getting votes as the nation’s best team. Alando Tucker is a flat-out stud who is capable of taking over a game. Kammron Taylor plays a nice second fiddle. Bo Ryan is deservedly getting noticed as an upper-tier coach. Bench depth: 10 players average 10 minutes or more.

What Not to Like: The injury to big man Brian Butch hurts them badly. Finishing the regular season with three losses in six games doesn’t necessarily equate to momentum. Tucker basically needs to remain hot for them to go deep, which is a lot to ask.

Last until... Tucker’s flame burns out. However, who’s to say that’ll happen anytime soon? Favorable early round matchups could carry the Badgers deep.

#3 OREGON DUCKS (26-7, 11-7 PAC-10)

What to Like: These guys can shoot. Possibly the best three-point team in the country. Five players average in double figures, led by Iverson-sized Aaron Brooks. Even tinier Tajuan Porter (a mere 5 foot 6) is fun to watch. A regional advantage in the first couple rounds – no other school is located within a thousand miles. Riding a six-game winning streak – the last four in convincing fashion.

What Not to Like: Before that win streak, lost six out of eight – five of them to unranked teams. Major size issues: 6’9’’ Maarty Leunen is the only player over 6’6’’ getting significant time on the floor. Don’t expect them to bang with the big boys.

Last until... the threes stop falling and they get manhandled down low. Wisconsin could out-tough them if given the chance.

#4 MARYLAND TERRAPINS (24-8, 10-6 ACC)

What to Like: Three of top four scorers (led by Darrell’s son, D.J. Strawberry) are seniors. Gary Williams has taken similar experience all the way to a championship in the past. Very versatile and athletic. From a talent standpoint, could hold its own with anyone in the bracket.

What not to Like: Even with senior leadership and Williams, the Terrapins have missed the tournament the past two seasons. Capable of collapsing at any given moment. Prime example: Two of Miami (FL)’s four conference wins this year inexcusably came at the expense of Maryland.

Last until... they realize that there isn’t opportunity to take plays off. Could be the first upset of the tournament.

#5 BUTLER BULLDOGS (27-6, 13-3 Horizon)

What to Like: Small school from Indy became the talk of college hoops for much of the year, including an impressive run out the gate as Preseason NIT champs. What they lack in talent, they’ve made up in hard work and skill – always a scary combo for opponents. Also play lights-out defense: sixth in the nation in points allowed.

What not to Like: Seemed to fade by year’s end, losing four games in the last month alone. Not very big and not very athletic – not a good combo. Offense often relies on its defense.

Last until... they can no longer control their tempo with their ‘D.’ However, with their level of gusto and determination, a deep run for this former Top Ten team is not out of the question.

#6 NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (24-7, 11-5 Big East)

What to Like: Surprise Big East team literally came out shooting and held its own in a tough conference. Nine wins by more than 20 points, including an astounding four by more than 35! After Oregon, perhaps the best perimeter team in the bracket.

What not to Like: The earlier loss of Kyle McAlarney to marijuana possession hurt. They can win big, but are they clutch? Four of seven losses were by three points or less. Not overly athletic.

Last until... a team plays them tight and forces them to take it to the hoop.

#7 UNLV REBELS (28-6, 12-4 MOUNTAIN WEST)

What to Like: Welcome back: Once-mighty Rebels showed they can run with the best of them once more. Four senior starters help set the tone. Coach Lon Kruger has had a taste of the Final Four.

What not to Like: Late season lopsided losses to BYU and San Diego State showed a tendency to coast at times and not keep a high energy level. A “happy to be here” mentality could lead to an early exit.

Last until... they decide not to play 40 minutes.

#8 ARIZONA WILDCATS (20-10, 11-7 PAC-10)

What to Like: Freshman phenom Chase Budinger is dangerous. But people don’t realize sophomore Marcus Williams had better stats this year. Don’t run and gun with them: 12-1 when they score at least 80. Shouldn’t be intimidated, as they played one of the toughest schedules in the nation. Coach Lute Olsen’s been to the promised land.

What Not to Like: Problems seem to be more mental than physical. Considered underachievers all season. Went through a spell where they lost six of eight. Effort sometimes questioned.

Last until... the wrong Wildcats team shows up – or more accurately, doesn’t show up. Early exit or deep run both feasible.

#9 PURDUE BOILERMAKERS (21-11, 9-7 BIG TEN)

What to Like: Senior dynamic duo of Carl Landry and David Teague play off each other well. Extended absence from the tournament could leave them with something to prove. Building off momentum of impressive turnaround from last year.

What Not to Like: No player of note really after Landry and Teague. 1-6 against ranked teams this year. Severely lacking in the size department.

Last until... a third option doesn’t step up.

#10 GEORGIA TECH (20-11, 8-8 ACC)
What to Like: Young and energetic, very quick. A lot of heart. Remember, it was only three years ago that coach Paul Hewitt rode an overachieving squad to the Finals.
What not to Like: Homesick, maybe? Lopsided home/away schedule resulted in an atrocious 3-10 on the road this year. Just one senior to provide leadership. Finished a forgettable seventh in its own conference.
Last until... they remember they’re not playing at home and face a team with more confidence.
#11 WINTHROP EAGLES (28-4, 14-0 BIG SOUTH)
What to Like: One of the hottest teams in the country, riding an 18-game win streak into the postseason. Played Wisconsin tight earlier in the year, might get the chance at Sweet Sixteen retribution. The first undefeated Big South season in conference history. Can take it to the hoop with the best of them.
What Not to Like: Four games against ranked opponents. Four losses. Not great beyond the perimeter. Need to stay tough to win: three of four losses they were outrebounded.
Last until... they remember that they’re not George Mason. Until then, could have some fun.
#12 OLD DOMINION MONARCHS (24-8, 15-3 COLONIAL ATHLETIC)
What to Like: Loaded with upperclassmen, led by sharpshooter Valdas Vasylius, who know how to win: 76 wins in the past three years. Solid on defense, adept at forcing turnovers, commendable intensity. Could get streaky.
What Not to Like: Several “huh?” losses to putrid James Madison and (this year’s) George Mason squad makes one scratch one’s head. Offense suffers when pressure is laid on thick.
Last until... they can’t find room down low. If field goal percentage doesn’t stay high.
#13 DAVIDSON WILDCATS (29-4, 17-1 SOUTHERN)
What to Like: Quick and unrelenting, they gave last year’s Ohio State squad a scare in the tournament. Be on the lookout for future star (and son of former NBA star Dell) Stephen Curry, who can score at will. Excellent combo of youthful exuberance and discipline. Finished regular season by rattling off 13 straight.
What Not to Like: Faced one formidable opponent this year – Duke – and failed the test miserably, losing by 28. Only know how to play one way – fast and furious.
Last until... their pace is slowed down. They get manipulated on low post defense. They get tested.
#14 MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS (18-14, 10-6 MAC)
What to Like: Typically plays hard on both sides of the court. Record a bit deceiving, as they lost several nailbiters. Forward Tim Pollitz can do a little bit of everything.
What Not to Like: 18-14 in a mid-major conference is still 18-14 in a mid-major conference.
Last until... they get on the court.
#15 TEXAS A&M – CORPUS CHRISTI ISLANDERS (26-6, 14-2 SOUTHLAND)
What to Like: Uber-veteran squad (seven seniors) has deep roster which spreads the ball around (eight players played at least 30 games, averaging at least 15 minutes and 5 points). New D-I team has size and doesn’t do any one thing poorly.
What Not to Like: Even with an impressive record, they rarely dominated an opponent, which is concerning with a fairly simple schedule.
Last until... they can say Texas A&M – Corpus Christi Islanders. It’s a mouthful.
#16 JACKSON STATE TIGERS (21-13, 12-6 SWAC)
What to Like: Scoring machine Trey Johnson averages 27.1 points per game. That’s a lot.
What Not to Like: Six losses in a joke of a conference. Three other losses by more than 25 points. Extremely small.
Last until... you’re kidding, right?

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Push for the Peach: West Region

By Drew Silverman
The Phanatic Magazine

WEST REGION

AT A GLANCE: The West Region is headlined by Kansas, which secured the top seed by virtue of its Big 12 championship victory against Texas on Sunday. UCLA, last year's runner-up, is seeded second in a region that has plenty of recognizable names but not necessarily the game to back it up.

There are a host of perennial powerhouses and recent contenders in this bracket, including #3 Pittsburgh, #6 Duke, #7 Indiana, #8 Kentucky, #9Villanova and #12 Illinois. But of these teams, only Pitt has any real shot to make some noise this month.

The West also has its share of intriguing mid-major squads. Fourth-seeded Southern Illinois might be the best mid-major in the nation and the team that usually holds that distinction, Gonzaga, is seeded 10th. Virginia Commonwealth and Holy Cross could be sleepers in the region.
REGION STRENGTH: I've heard people say that this is a difficult region, but in my opinion it's the easiest. There isn't a single team that is scary. There are good teams - Kansas, UCLA, Pitt - but no team that I really would not want to face if I was a tournament team. If this year's tournament took place in the 1990s, then there would be some great matchups with Duke, Kentucky and Kansas. But we're in 2007, people, and the fear factor is no longer there with these schools.

DEAR MR. COMMITTEE: Why did we get a No. 2 seed even though we went 10-1 against RPI Top 50 teams and 10-2 against teams in the NCAA Tournament? Sincerely,UCLA.

Why do we have to play one of the top mid-majors in Holy Cross, while Virginia Tech is seeded one spot below us and they get to face a mediocre team in Illinois? Sincerely, Southern Illinois

PREDICTED REGION WINNER: Southern Illinois. Why not the Salukis in a bracket full of perennial NCAA Tournament underachievers and flawed former powerhouses? This bracket is so wide open that you could argue every team inthe region got a good draw. The bottom line is that Kansas isn't as good as people think, UCLA isn't as good as last year, and SIU isn't a fluke.

TEAM-BY-TEAM GLANCE:

#1 Kansas Jayhawks (30-4, 14-2 Big 12)

What's to like: The Big 12 champions enter the NCAA Tournament on an 11-game winning streak. They overcame an early 32-10 deficit in Sunday's conference title game against Texas, eventually prevailing in overtime for their second win over the Longhorns this month.

What's not to like: The biggest issue surrounding the Jayhawks is their ability to overcome poor performances in the last two NCAA Tournaments. Kansas has lost as a 3 and 4 seed in the first round the last two years, and also has one of the youngest teams in the field as their top five scorers are either freshmen or sophomores.

Last until? The key with Kansas is the play of sophomore guard Brandon Rush,who was great in the Big 12 title game but tends to disappear at times. He averaged 13.8 points this season but when his outside shot isn't falling, the Jayhawks can look lost offensively. Kansas has the natural talent to cruise to the Sweet 16, but that's when the run will come to a sudden halt.

#2 UCLA Bruins (26-5, 15-3 Pac 10)

What's to like: UCLA has a superb trio of guards in Arron Afflalo, Josh Shipp and Darren Collison, who combine to average 42.8 points and 10.4 assists. As usual, coach Ben Howland's team is outstanding defensively and plays under control on offense.

What's not to like: The Bruins lost their last two games to Washington and California - two teams whose names do not appear on the NCAA Tournament bracket. They hoped to get a #1 seed but were edged when Kansas took the Big12 title. The latest issue for UCLA, which struggles offensively at times, is a sprained ankle suffered by Collison in practice this week.

Last until? The Bruins literally can beat any team in the country. They also can lose to at least 50 teams in the country. That being said, UCLA got a very good draw and anything short of the Elite 8 would be a disappointment for Howland's bunch.

#3 Pittsburgh Panthers (27-7, 12-4 Big East)

What's to like: Aaron Gray (14.1 ppg, 9.6 rpg) is literally the big man on campus at Pitt, where the 7-footer has improved his game every season. Levance Fields (9.3 ppg, 4.5 apg) is not intimidated by point guards with more size, speed or ability and Antonio Graves (9.4 ppg) is a senior with experience and a nice outside touch.

What's not to like: The Panthers don't have much depth up front if Gray gets into foul trouble. They also must overcome past disappointments in the NCAA Tournament with better teams than the one they have now.

Last until? Despite a balance of inside scoring and outside prowess and the underrated Jamie Dixon roaming the sidelines, Pitt always goes through stretches in the NCAA Tournament where scoring becomes a major factor. As soon as they meet a team that can match their defensive tenacity, the Panthers usually come up on the losing end.

#4 Southern Illinois Salukis (27-6, 15-3 MVC)

What's to like: The Salukis are the best mid-major in the tournament this season, boasting 13 wins in their last 14 games with the only loss being a hard-fought 67-61 defeat to Creighton in the Missouri Valley Conference championship game. The two best players on Southern Illinois are Jamaal Tatum and Randal Falker. Tatum (15.0 ppg) is the primary guard who makes it all happen, while Falker (12.5 ppg, 7.5 rpg) is a relentless inside force that causes opposing big men to see him in their sleep.

What's not to like: There is a history in the NCAA Tournament of mid-majors disappointing when they receive high seeds (See: Gonzaga, Butler, Nevada). Even SIU has been at its best with a double-digit seeding in March. And making things more dangerous for the Salukis is a first-round matchup with Holy Cross, another intriguing mid-major squad.

Last until? Southern Illinois was an impressive 15-3 in conference this season and also owns a victory against Virginia Tech, which could be the Salukis' opponent in the second round. If Southern Illinois survives until the second weekend, there could be potential matchups against Kansas, Kentucky,Pittsburgh, Duke or UCLA. But don't be fooled by these names, SIU has what it takes to beat any of them.

#5 Virginia Tech Hokies (21-11, 10-6 ACC)

What's to like: The Hokies quietly had an outstanding season in the ACC, where most of the attention focused on North Carolina's success and Duke's struggles. But it was the Hokies who handed the Tar Heels two of their six losses and also won at Duke when the Blue Devils were ranked fifth in the nation. One of the keys for March success is usually having a quality veteran backcourt, something Virginia Tech certainly can lay claim to. Zabian Dowdell and Jamon Gordon combine for 29.3 points and 7.9 assists and the senior combo gets plenty of support from athletic swingman Deron Washington and sharpshooter A.D. Vassallo.

What's not to like: VA Tech has no NCAA Tournament experience and doesn't have a lot to fall back on if its guards are struggling from the field. The Hokies' forwards could be overmatched by Illinois? Shaun Pruitt and Warren Carter, who are far from elite big men themselves.

Last until? The Hokies had to be pleased to draw a team like Illinois in the first round as opposed to a dangerous mid-major like Winthrop or Davidson. But if they survive the Illini, that dangerous mid-major could be waiting for them in the presence of Southern Illinois, which has the experience and athleticism to match up with VA Tech.

#6 Duke Blue Devils (22-10, 8-8 ACC)

What's to like: Not a whole lot this year. Duke's defense has been very solid but offense and holding onto the ball have been constant issues. Jon Scheyer has played well as a freshman, but the rest of his class hasn't held up its end of the bargain. DeMarcus Nelson (14.3 ppg) has come on strong in his junior season.

What's not to like: The Blue Devils are coming off their worst season in a decade but still pulled a 6 seed through some combination of reputation and general Duke magic. Usually a force in the ACC, the Blue Devils didn't just lose to North Carolina twice, they also lost to Maryland twice and suffered defeats to Virginia Tech, Virginia, Florida State and Georgia Tech, not to mention a first-round loss to North Carolina State in the ACC Tournament. Duke is flawed in a number of areas this season, including the lack of a go-to scorer, an unusually high number of turnovers and the absence of any type of inside force. Josh McRoberts (12.8 ppg, 7.8 rpg) hasn't developed at the rate most Duke fans would like, while Greg Paulus (11.4 ppg, 3.8 apg) has taken a step forward this season but still has a propensity for committing key turnovers late in games.

Last until? In most seasons, Nelson, McRoberts and Scheyer would be Duke's third, fourth and fifth options offensively. But this year they are 1-2-3 and that is a recipe for an early off-season in Durham. A trip to the Sweet 16 would be a big surprise.

#7 Indiana Hoosiers (20-10, 10-6 Big Ten)

What's to like: The key for the Hoosiers is the outside shooting of Roderick Wilmont, who made nine 3-pointers against Northwestern last month, and A.J. Ratliff, who has connected on nine of his last 13 attempts from behind-the-arc. Inside, Indiana relies on D.J. White (13.7 ppg, 7.0 rpg), but the 6-9 junior needs help from his outside shooters if he's going to have room to work in the paint.

What's not to like: The Hoosiers' resume is not overwhelming and their talent level isn't either. Their best wins are quality - against Wisconsin and Southern Illinois - but after that is a myriad of mediocre Big 10 victories like Michigan State and Illinois.

Last until? As long as their outside shots are falling, Indiana has a chance to beat any team in the West. But if the outside magic isn't there, the Hoosiers could be one and done.

#8 Kentucky Wildcats (21-11, 9-7 SEC)

What's to like: The key for the Wildcats is always the play of center Randolph Morris, who averages 15.8 points and 7.7 rebounds. The 6-11 junior displays flashes of brilliance but also has periods where he is a non-factor. They need Morris to be a force if Ramel Bradley and Joe Crawford are going to be effective from the outside.

What's not to like: It was an up-and-down season for the Wildcats, who won 11 straight games from December-January but finished by losing six of their last nine. Their big wins came at Louisville and vs. Tennessee, but a closer look reveals that Tubby Smith's team was 0-7 against ranked opponents this season.

Last until? Kentucky opens with an all-Wildcat match-up against Villanova and the reward for the winner of that game? A meeting with top-seeded Kansas. It would be a major surprise if Kentucky is still standing come the Sweet 16.

#9 Villanova Wildcats (22-10, 9-7 Big East)

What's to like: While Curtis Sumpter (17.3 ppg, 7.2 rpg) has been Villanova's most consistent player, the key has been the emergence of talented freshman Scottie Reynolds (14.5 ppg), who poured in 40 points at UConn earlier this month and is a threat to score every time he touches the ball.

What's not to like: Villanova certainly is helped by its outstanding free-throw shooting, but the Wildcats always have the ability to look poor offensively when the outside shots aren't falling and Reynolds starts turning the ball over.

Last until? Villanova's tournament hopes will depend on Reynolds' performance and the health of senior Mike Nardi, who is battling leg and ankle injuries. Chances are the Wildcats will be eliminated before he ever has a chance to get totally healthy.

#10 Gonzaga Bulldogs (23-10, 11-3 WCC)

What's to like: In the absence of suspended forward Josh Heytvelt, Derek Ravio has continued to carry the Zags. The senior point guard is averaging 18.1 points and 4.6 assists, while Jeremy Pargo chips in 12.2 points and 4.6 assists. But the X-factor for Gonzaga is Kansas transfer Micah Downs, who has elevated his play the last several weeks with increased playing time.

What's not to like: Without Heytvelt (15.5 ppg, 7.7 rpg), Gonzaga is rather thin up front in terms of guys who can score in the paint. Downs has played well, but he is a role player at this stage of his career. Overall, the Zags lack the overall talent they've had in recent seasons.

Last until? Gonzaga is a tough team to judge, because they could easily lose to Indiana in the first round. But they also could beat UCLA and go all the way to the Elite 8. History shows that the Zags fare better when less is expected, but this year might be the exception to the rule.

#11 Virginia Commonwealth Rams (27-6, 16-2 CAA)

What's to like: One of the more dangerous mid-major teams in the draw, the Rams are the definition of balanced. They have three players who average at least 13 points, four who average between 4-5 rebounds and four who average at least one steal. VCU's best player is point guard Eric Maynor, who averages13.6 points, 6.3 assists and 4.4 rebounds. The sophomore literally stole the CAA Tournament title away from George Mason, making a pair of key steals inthe final minutes and scoring nine straight points down the stretch.

What's not to like: A matchup with Duke could be intimidating in the first round. But the Rams are well-coached by Anthony Grant and should not be intimidated by a Blue Devils team that clearly isn't as strong as usual.

Last until? The Rams enter March Madness on a five-game winning streak, including three straight victories in their conference tournament without allowing more than 60 points in any game. It seems every year a double-digit seed reaches the Sweet 16. This could be the year of the Ram.

#12 Illinois Fighting Illini (23-11, 9-7 Big Ten)

What's to like: Unlike star-studded teams Illinois has had in recent seasons, this year's squad does not include a player the caliber of Deron Williams, Dee Brown, Luther Head or James Augustine. What it does have is a capable shooter in Rich McBride (78 3-pointers) and a couple of respectable forwards in Shaun Pruitt and Warren Carter, who combine to average 25.3 points and 13.8 boards.

What's not to like: Victories over Penn State and Indiana in the Big Ten Tournament were just the push the Fighting Illini needed to get over the bubble hump. Their resume isn't all that impressive - highlighted by two wins over Indiana and victories against Michigan State and Bradley - but it was enough to sneak into the field.

Last until? Illinois' first-round opponent is Virginia Tech, which looks as "upsettable" as any 5 seed in the field. But the Illini simply don't have the look of a winner this year and they likely will prove to the committee, albeit too late, why they belonged in the NIT.

#13 Holy Cross Crusaders (25-8, 13-1 Patriot League)

What's to like: Keith Simmons and Torey Thomas - both seniors - combine to average 30.9 points and 10.6 rebounds. The duo combined for 51 points in the Patriot League championship game as Holy Cross defeated two-time defending conference champ Bucknell.

What's not to like: Holy Cross plays great defense but can struggle offensively at times. The team isn't as deep as the 2003 squad, which nearly knocked off Final Four-bound Marquette in the first round.

Last until? Earlier this season, Holy Cross hung around against Syracuse, Duke, Providence and Hofstra before losing each of those games by fewer than 10 points. Expect a similar result against Southern Illinois in the NCAA Tournament for the scrappy Crusaders.

#14 Wright State Raiders (23-9, 13-3 Horizon League)

What's to like: There's a lot to like about Dashaun Wood, who averaged 19.8 points and 3.9 assists while shooting nearly 38 percent from 3-point range. The 5-11 senior scored 27 points in the conference title game as the Raiders upset Butler to head to the Big Dance.

What's not to like: There isn't much scoring prowess after Wood as no other Raider averages double figures. Vaughn Duggins is the second-leading scorer on the roster at 8.9 points, but he shoots only 37 percent from the field.

Last until? Wright State really does not have anyone who can handle Pitt centerAaron Gray, meaning it probably will be a short trip to the NCAA Tournament for the Raiders. They have to hope that Dashaun gets hot.

#15 Weber State Wildcats (20-11, 11-5 Big Sky)

What's to like: The Wildcats have the conference Player of the Year in forward David Patten (14.4 ppg), who is the lone starter returning from the team that went 11-17 a year ago. Weber State started this season 4-4 but has come on strong, winning eight of its last 10.

What's not to like: One of the necessary elements in most major upsets is 3-point shooting. But other than Juan Pablo Silveira (55 3-pointers), no other Wildcat averages more than one per game.

Last until? UCLA certainly has the potential to look poor offensively on a given night. I think the right team could challenge the Bruins in a 2-15 matchup, but Weber State probably doesn't have the offensive firepower to do so.

#16 Niagara Purple Eagles (23-11, 13-5 MAAC)

What's to like: While Niagara has to face Kansas, at least the team has some momentum following Tuesday's 77-69 triumph against Florida A&M in the play-in game. Clif Brown made a career-high six 3-pointers en route to 32 points for the Purple Eagles, who won despite shooting just 39 percent, including 8-of-27 from the arc.

What's not to like: When you're a 16 seed, nothing's not to like. There is absolutely no pressure on the Purple Eagles, who can score as well as any double-digit seed in the field. If their 3-pointers are falling, perhaps they can give Kansas a run. If not, well at least they won the play-in game.

Last until? Expect Niagara to hang tough until the final minutes. This could go down as one of the closest 1-16 matchups of all time.

Push for the Peach: South Region

The Phanatic Magazine's "Push for the Peach" continues with a breakdown of the South Region.

By Jared Trexler
The Phanatic Magazine

AT A GLANCE: A region broken into dynamically-different subregions, the South is predicated by prognosticators, this one included, to be the Ohio State-Texas A&M show. The Buckeye Invitational, also known as Ohio State's quad, should lead Greg Oden and company to San Antonio -- an odd geographical location especially if the Elite Eight opponent is A&M. Acie Law, Josh Carter and the rest of Billy Gillespie's bunch host Ivy League champion Penn before drawing the winner of Louisville-Stanford in round 2. The Cardinal are metaphorically limping into the Big Dance, while the Cardinals are literally limping with plenty of bumps, bruises and fatigue following a leave-it-on-the-floor mentality through the final few weeks of the Big East season.

A Tennessee-Virginia Round 2 showdown would feature a trio of talented, sharp-shooting guards in the Volunteers' Chris Lofton -- the best pure shooter in the 65-team field -- and the Cavaliers' duo of Sean Singletary and J.R. Reynolds. However, don't write the clubs into the second round with permanent marker. Both Long Beach State and Albany bring their share of problems. The Great Danes almost became the first No. 16 to down a top seed in last year's tournament, taking Connecticut to the brink of elimination late in the second half.

The bottom quad presents a golden opportunity for a mid-major to reach the Sweet 16. The Nevada-Creighton match-up features some high-major talent on teams from the WAC and Missouri Valley. Nate Funk is a dynamic perimeter shooter for the Blue Jays, especially since moving off the point earlier in the season. Nick Fazekas gets all of the headlines for Nevada, but a name to watch out for is Marcelus Kemp. The do-everything swingman has a solid perimeter stroke, and the game off the bounce to match.

REGION STRENGTH: On second glance, this appears to be the second easiest draw behind Florida's cakewalk to Atlanta. Ohio State shouldn't face a club capable of slowing Oden until the Elite Eight, and even then, the Aggies frontcourt is no equal match for the 7-foot freshman. Virginia or Tennessee will match Ron Lewis, Jamar Butler and Mike Conley on the perimeter, but the Buckeyes should control the backboards and roll to the Elite Eight. No low seed appears to be Sweet 16 capable, unless you count the winner of the 7-10 match-up behind Nevada and Creighton. Memphis is the weakest second seed on the board, mostly because the Tigers are a relative unknown after playing the last two-plus months exclusively in mediocre Conference USA.

DEAR MR. COMMITTEE: Stanford has great night clubs, killer beaches within manageable distance and groomed America's best athlete, Tiger Woods. However, this year's Cardinal, even with tower Robin Lopez (left), have no business on the South region line. Yes, they have tournament-worthy victories over Virginia and Texas Tech, but also lost to Santa Clara, bubble-bursting Air Force and Gonzaga. The RPI of 63 with a SOS of 37 aren't eye-popping numbers for an at-large selection. Also, we know you value how a team finishes its season. Well, Stanford finished with losses in four of five with the only victory over Arizona State. Everything else makes sense, except reasonable minds could argue the Aggies and Tigers should exchange places at the two and three spots. Virginia as a four is slightly high, but it did share the regular-season title in the RPI's top conference (ACC).

TEAM-BY-TEAM GLANCE

#1 OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (30-3, 15-1 Big Ten)

What to Like: Size and speed, Ohio State has the entire package on the offensive end of the floor. Four players shot over 37 percent from long distance on the season, and one who didn't, Lewis, may be the club's best three-point shooter in the clutch. Oden is a beast inside and just keeps getting better. He averaged 17 points and 12.3 rebounds during the Big Ten Tournament, including 12 points on just nine shots and 10 boards against Wisconsin in the final. The unsung hero is Conley, who keeps all of the scorers happy, does a great job of running the break and recognizes the proper angles to get Oden the ball. If you notice, Oden always receives the ball in scoring position, a testament to his post-up ability but also Conley's court sense.

What not to Like: Youth. Yet, in reality, youth is everywhere. It shouldn't be a detriment, especially with veterans Butler, Ivan Harris and Lewis on the club. A team that is raw at the point and in the post usually doesn't cut down the nets -- and this group of Buckeyes likely won't, but not because of inexperience. At times, Ohio State's perimeter players, save Conley, forget Oden's game-changing ability. Nine shots is not enough in the NCAA Tournament for a player of Oden's caliber, especially against Law and third-seeded Texas A&M.
Last until...The long arm of the Law takes it out in the regional final. Carter, one of the best long-distance shooters in the country, could be the difference, especially if Thad Matta falls in love with stopping Law. The Aggies are tournament-tested from top to bottom and will bounce the Buckeyes in a down-to-the-wire, entertaining Elite Eight bout.

#2 MEMPHIS TIGERS (30-3, 16-0 C-USA)

What to Like: Athleticism and scoring punch. Rodney Carney is long gone, but many college basketball fans forget Jeremy Hunt and Chris Douglas-Roberts. Memphis plays pressure on-ball defense and is effective at forcing the tempo.

What not to Like: The biggest question mark in the entire tournament, one has to wonder if the Tigers are doubting themselves deep down. They haven't left Conference USA except for a victory over a depleted Gonzaga squad late in the season. Victories over South Florida and TCU only go so far, and the Tigers will have to prove they can outwit a team that matches their athleticism. High-flying clubs Georgia Tech, Tennessee and Arizona all handed Memphis losses this season. At times in the NCAA Tournament, you have to run an orchestrated set as the shot clock winds down and score. Time will tell if the Tigers can accomplish that feat.

Last until...they meet one of two mid-major darlings in the second round. Both Nevada and Creighton present different match-up problems for the Tigers, but either will send the Tigers packing. No elite competition for over two months will bite Memphis in the end against the experienced guards of the Blue Jays in a second-round upset.

#3 TEXAS A&M AGGIES (25-6, 13-3 BIG 12)

What to Like: Experience. Two juniors and the senior Law make up three of the club's top four scorers. Law is a cut-throat performer, just ask Texas' Kevin Durant, who watched the southpaw float an off-balance three over his outstretched arms to force overtime in the state rivalry during late February. Law (below), along with Oden, are the best players in the bracket, but unlike the seven-footer, Acie can dictate tempo and create his own shots. Carter is a perfect complement for the penetrate-and-kick game. The most important piece may be Antanas Kavaliauskas, a big man who likes to float out to the the mid-range game -- shooting 54 percent on the season from the floor.
What not to Like: If anything, the lack of a physically-imposing inside presence. Joseph Jones is 6-9 and Kavaliauskas is 6-10, but can either push Oden or even Louisville's David Padgett around in a possible second-round contest?

Last until...a national semifinal defeat in Atlanta. The Aggies will rely heavily on Law, along with the perimeter shooting of Carter, to take down Penn and Louisville before pushing past Creighton in the Sweet 16. In the Elite Eight, Oden won't receive enough touches, and A&M will advance out of the region.

#4 VIRGINIA CAVALIERS (20-10, 11-5 ACC)

What to Like: Singletary and Reynolds are one of the best backcourt duos in the country. Reynolds is a natural off guard, 17.8 points and shooting 42 percent from the floor on the season. Singletary is a great mix guard -- solid with the ball and comfortable on the wing. The first team All-ACC selection compiled 18.9 points and 4.6 assists on the campaign.

What not to Like: Not a lot along the frontline. Senior Jason Cain scraps and claws, hustling to make up for his lack of size on the interior. After Cain, the Cavs rely on 6-7 forward Adrian Joseph in the paint. The deficiencies may not hurt until the Sweet 16 or Lofton's three-point barrage -- whichever comes first.

Last until...a tight second-round loss to Tennessee. Both the Vols and Cavs may be overseeded. A 10-loss big-conference club probably shouldn't be on the four line, but Virginia has a manageable draw and a relatively good chance to reach San Antonio. The second-round game could go either way, but I lean toward the tournament-tested Lofton and do-everything Dane Bradshaw in the clutch.

#5 TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS (22-10, 10-6 SEC)

What to Like: Lofton's stroke and Bradshaw's heart. Playing with multiple injuries all season, Bradshaw is head coach Bruce Pearl's type of player -- hard-nosed and team-first. Lofton, if it can't be stated enough, is the best pure shooter in the tournament, drilling 42 percent of his threes on the campaign. When he was out with injury, the Volunteers seemed lost offensively.
What not to Like: Much like the Cavaliers, the Volunteers' lack of a post presence will be killer when one of the clubs venture to San Antonio for a Sweet 16 bout with Ohio State. Freshman Wayne Chism, the team's fourth leading scorer, is the top big guy standing just 6-9.

Last until...Oden dominates in the Sweet 16. It would take a J.J. Redick-like night from Lofton to keep the Vols close. I just don't see it, especially with Ohio State's weapons on the perimeter.

#6 LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (23-9, 12-4 BIG EAST)

What to Like: The appearance of freshman big man Derrick Caracter really provided Padgett with some relief and opened driving lanes for Edgar Sosa, Terrence Williams and Juan Palacios. The Cardinals enter the tourney winners in seven of their last eight -- going in a far different direction than their first-round opponent.

What not to Like: Padgett is labeled as "soft," and rightly so for a big man who averages just 5.7 rebounds a game. Caracter is still mentally and emotionally immature, so head coach Rick Pinto's inside game is lacking toughness. Texas A&M is the epitome of tough.

Last until...Law and the Aggies take them out in the second round. The Cardinals will stay in the game for the duration, but Law won't end his career before a trip to San Antonio.
#7 NEVADA WOLF PACK (28-4, 14-2 WAC)

What to Like: Two NBA prospects in Fazekas, who pulled out of the draft before hiring an agent after last season, and Kemp. The Wolf Pack have bad memories from a first-round exit last season.

What not to Like: Little competition throughout the season. Nevada didn't even play a team of Creighton's caliber until UNLV on December 9, a game it lost. The loss in the WAC semis is a bad omen, especially with how well the Blue Jays have been playing. The club, for all its offensive talent, doesn't play great fundamental halfcourt defense.

Last until...Nate Funk steps on the floor. The defensive lapses talked about above will prove costly against a great long-distance shooting club. Fazekas' college career ends with two consecutive first-round losses.

# 8 BYU COUGARS (25-8, 13-3 Mountain West)

What to Like: The apple didn’t fall far from the tee. Former collegiate and NBA sharpshooter Danny Ainge taught his son Austin well, as the senior guard has turned into a dangerous outside weapon for the Cougars. The 6-2 guard shot a staggering 49 percent from beyond the arc (54-of-110) on the season. Keena Young, however, is BYU’s heart and soul, averaging 17.2 points on the season. He is coming off a 34-point performance in the Mountain West championship game win over UNLV.

What not to Like: Falling flat against big competition. The Cougars are without a true signature win this season, losing the season opener to UCLA then later in non-conference play to Michigan State. Two wins over Air Force came after the New Year, when the Falcons slowly began falling off the face of the NCAA Tournament radar.

Last until…A second-round date with the Buckeyes. Oden is too strong on the interior, and Ohio State is too deep on the perimeter for the Mountain West regular-season champs.

# 9 XAVIER MUSKETEERS (24-8, 13-3 Atlantic-10)

What to Like: Non-conference W’s over Villanova, Kansas State and Illinois demonstrate the Musketeers’ success in games against similarly skilled competition. Senior Justin Doellman is a force on the block and floating to the perimeter, shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc. Stanley Burrell is a warrior at the guard position, logging over 1000 minutes in the regular season while averaging 13.1 points per contest.

What Not to Like: Months of poor competition. All of the marquee wins listed above happened on or before January 3, meaning the last two months have been played against the likes of Dayton and Richmond. The Musketeers have played and beaten just one tournament team since December 29, downing George Washington, 87-58, on February 10.

Last until…the buzzer sounds in the first round. Both BYU and Xavier haven’t played high-quality schedules down the stretch, but The Phanatic Magazine says Ainge will drain a key three down the stretch and the Cougars will sneak one out.

# 10 CREIGHTON BLUE JAYS (22-10, 13-5 MVC)

What to Like: Peaking at the right time. The Blue Jays have won 10 of 13, including a victory over Southern Illinois in the conference title game. Freshman Isacc Miles has helped lower the ball-handling pressure on Funk, allowing the guard to slide over to his more comfortable wing spot. Leading the club in scoring, Funk is one of three battle-tested seniors for head coach Dana Altman, along with Anthony Tolliver and Nick Porter. All three have vast tournament experience, as does Altman. The Blue Jays have made the Big Dance in seven of the last nine seasons.

What not to Like: The loss to Drexel in BracketBusters showed this team just can’t get completely over the proverbial hump. Something is missing, and I’m not sure what. I stand by the belief that the Creighton-Nevada winner will knock out Memphis, but I’m less certain on the winner of the first-round game. At times the Blue Jays are susceptible on the backboards, not a good sign with Fazekas looming.

Last until…a trip to San Antonio for the Sweet 16. I can’t get past Creighton’s veteran leadership, which should be enough to squeak past Nevada then upend Memphis to reach the regional semifinals, where equally experienced Texas A&M waits.

# 11 STANFORD CARDINAL (18-12, 10-8 PAC-10)

What to Like: Trees in the paint. The Lopez Twins (Brook and Robin) are both seven-footers with plenty of beef. Lawrence Hill (tailbone) is back from injury and Anthony Goods is a 37 percent three-point shooter. Defenses must realize, I’m talking to you Rick Pinto, that the double-downs on either Lopez can’t come from Goods’ man or the rest is three-point history.

What not to Like: Talked about greatly under “Dear Mr. Committee,” the Cardinal have one of the weakest at-large profiles in the field. Wins over Virginia, Texas Tech, Washington State and UCLA prove they belong, but they enter the tournament on a bad run, losers in four of five (twice to USC).

Last until…a narrow loss in the first round at the hands of Louisville. The Cardinal trees may give Padgett problems on the interior, but Palacios, Sosa and Williams are too good in space for the more methodical Cardinal guards.

#12 LONG BEACH STATE 49ERS (24-7, 12-2 Big West)

What to Like: Not much really, unless you count a ringing endorsement from my girlfriend. She likes Long Beach State's experience, and wouldn’t you know it, the 49ers’ top six scorers are seniors! That is research my friends.

What not to Like: Stability at the top is a question with the rumors that Larry Reynolds may be out as head coach once the tournament run ends. That could also serve as motivation, but it’s a tough line to walk, especially for a low mid-major. The question I have for a team facing Chris Lofton is, “Can you get out and guard people?” 93, 77, 76, 80, 75, 63, 83 points surrendered in their last seven games. The answer is not well enough.

Last until…Lofton and Bradshaw start burying threes from all corners of the court.

#13 ALBANY GREAT DANES (23-9, 13-3 America East)

What to Like: They believe. The Great Danes took ultra-talented Connecticut to the brink of elimination during last year’s first round. This Virginia team is not as talented, and Albany is riding a high after downing regular season dominator Vermont in the conference title game.

What not to Like: Pounding by 31 at Connecticut and by 18 against Virginia Commonwealth are signs they can’t handle the big-game pressure. I don’t think the Great Danes have a defensive stopper for Reynolds or Singletary.

Last until…”Starting for the Cavaliers, Sean Singletary.”

# 14 PENN QUAKERS (22-8, 13-1 Ivy League)

What to Like: Intelligent, team-oriented group that plays with more pace than versions of the past. Lost by just 10 points to Villanova and beat Temple this season. Mark Zoller (18.2 points, 7.5 rebounds per game) is a heady player.

What not to Like: Lack of size – no player over 6-9 -- and possibly rusty after not playing since March 6. The Ivy League really needs a post-season tournament.

Last until…Acie Law decides it’s time to get moving.

#15 NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN (23-10, 10-8 Sun Belt)

What to Like: Confidence is a fickle beast. The Mean Green have won seven of eight, avenging their only loss during that time in the conference tournament title game against Arkansas State.

What not to Like: A 10-8 record in such a pedestrian league. North Texas lost to Charlotte by 18 and Nebraska by 19. The RPI suggested the Opening Round Game, not a No. 15 in the South.
Last until…The Tigers turn on the engines. I thought Memphis could go down with the right match-up (possibly Belmont) but instead it drew the worst 15th-seed in the draw.

#16 CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE (22-11, 16-2 Northeast)

What to Like:
Winners in 17 of their last 18 games. Javier Mojica is a 41 percent long-range shooter.

What not to Like: A 20-point loss to Michigan and 27-point defeat to Davidson are not good omens for the Blue Devils.

Last until…Oden exerts his force in the middle. This group of Blue Devils just doesn’t have the horses to stay with the galloping Buckeyes.
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You can reach Jared Trexler at jtrexler@phanaticmag.com

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Push for the Peach: East Region

The Phanatic Magazine's "Push for the Peach" continues with a breakdown of the East Region.

By John Gottlieb
The Phanatic Magazine

AT A GLANCE: There is so much to like when it comes to the East. It starts at the top with a deep North Carolina team that starts three freshmen. Reyshawn Terry and Tyler Hansbrough are the elder statesmen on a team that loves to get out and run. A young backcourt may be the only downfall to the Tar Heels. If you’re the rest of the East Region you have to get UNC early. Hansbrough has not regained his scoring touch since the vicious hit from Duke’s Gerald Henderson, but that didn’t prevent the Tar Heels from winning the ACC Tournament.

The first round game to keep your eye on is Texas versus Reggie Theus’ New Mexico State team. The Aggies beat Utah State to win the WAC and their full court press may help slow down the man-child known as Kevin Durant. However, the Longhorns are just too much, as A.J. Abrams and D.J. Augustin are the perfect backcourt to complement the National Player of the Year candidate. The only shortcoming to Texas is their lack of defensive stability.

Pay attention to the upstart Cougars of Washington State. They usually keep it a low scoring game and are adept at forcing turnovers. Guards Derrick Low and Kyle Weaver will propel the Cougars deep into the tourney.

Arkansas very well may be the upset special in the East region. When teams like Syracuse and Drexel complain about being left out in the cold, the Razorbacks are the team most pointed to. It’s fairly safe to assume that Arkansas was the last team selected and it was thanks to a run in the SEC tourney. The Hogs finished fourth in the weak SEC West with a 7-9 record, but the 35th-best RPI and the 15th-hardest strength of schedule along with winning six of their last nine games secured a bid. They should be looking to prove that they are deserving, and they’ll get a chance against the fifth-seeded USC Trojans, who were demolished by Oregon in the Pac-10 final. It’s a lock that a #12 will beat a #5, but look to a different region for your bracket buster.

REGION STRENTH: This has to be the toughest region in the tournament. The South is a close second where Louisville got a #6 seed, but there are a handful of teams that can find themselves playing in Atlanta, including the Trojans, who finished fourth in the Pac-10 and Georgetown, which as a two-seed, is one of the hottest teams in the country. The East region has the most question marks and it’ll take a fantastic two weeks to play itself out.

DEAR MR. COMMITTEE: How is it possible that Arkansas was more deserving of a bid than Syracuse, which was the first team to win 20 games, including 10 in a major conference, and not make the tournament. How about Drexel, which won 13 games on the road, including wins at Villanova, Syracuse, and Creighton, or even Air Force, which had the 30th-best RPI, destroyed Stanford, and also bested tourney teams such as Texas Tech, George Washington, and UNLV?

TEAM-BY-TEAM GLANCE

#1 North Carolina Tar Heels (28-6, 11-5 ACC)

What to Like: Where do you begin? Roy Williams is one of the best coaches in the country and like always he has his team ready to run. Reyshawn Terry is as solid as it gets while Brandan Wright, Ty Lawson and Wayne Ellington, all freshmen, seem like naturals in Williams’ run-and-gun offense. Then there is Tyler Hansbrough, who knows how to get to the free thrown line and has no regard for his body when it comes to a loose ball.

What not to Like: Hansbrough has not been the same offensively since breaking his nose against Duke. He’s clearly not comfortable wearing the mask. He’s a gamer and that will not prevent him from making a run at a national title.

Last until...The more they play the more dangerous they are. If Hansbrough regains his form this team will be tough to beat. I like them to breeze into the Sweet 16 until they meet Texas.

This may very well be the best game in the entire tournament. It’s two young teams and a number of future NBA stars. The tandem of Kevin Durant, A.J. Abrams and D.J. Augustin will be too much for Williams’ Tar Heels. I just don’t see anyone on North Carolina that can stop Durant. UNC will have to double him, which will leave open Longhorns to hit big shots. Texas gets by North Carolina in a Sweet 16 squeaker.

#2 Georgetown Hoyas (26-6, 13-3 Big East)

What to Like: They are one of the hottest teams in the country and easily could’ve been given a No. 1 seed. They won 15 of their final 16 games, including a dominant performance against Pittsburgh in the Big East championship. Jeff Green was the Big East Player of the Year and he donated 30 in a fantastic semifinal win over Notre Dame. They are dominant defensively, allowing 56.5 points per contest. While not adept as some of the past big men, Roy Hibbert is a force in the middle of the paint.

What not to Like: If you can disrupt their rhythm and not allow the Hoyas to get into their halfcourt offense then they can have trouble scoring. Guard play is a key to making it far in the tournament and it took some time for Jonathan Wallace and Jessie Sapp to get into the offense.

Last until...This team will return the Hoyas to the prominence they experienced throughout the 80s. They’ll be playing well into the second week and will get past Durant to reach Atlanta.

#3 Washington State Cougars (25-7, 13-5 Pac-10)

What to Like: The Cougars rank third in the country with only 10.4 turnovers per game and hold opponents to under 59 points per game, which is good enough for 14th in the country. Keep your eye out for Derrick Low, who just may be the best player in the East region that you’ve never heard of.

What not to Like: Their lack of experience. This is the first time they’ve finished in the upper half of the Pac-10 since 1994-95. They can get beat on the inside.

Last until...Washington State was pegged for last place in the Pac-10 but Tony Bennett, who took over his father Dick, turned this team around. The Cougars are one of the teams that pundits say to look out for since they weren’t expected to be here. Their run ends with a Sweet 16 birth.

#4 Texas Longhorns (24-9, 12-4 Big 12)

What to Like: Hmmmmmmmmmmmm, they’ve got a pretty good freshman, I think his name is Kevin Durant. If you haven’t heard of him, then you’re not reading this anyway. He’s got Kevin Garnett written all over him, pouring in 25.1 points and pulling down 11.4 rebounds per game.

What not to Like: They give up 72 points per game. If Durant struggles, which he hasn’t, then the Longhorns can be in for a long night. The team is extremely young with four freshmen starters.

Last until...This team will be stopped one game short of Atlanta. The only team stopping them from a title is the Hoyas of Georgetown. I like them to get past the Tar Heels in the Sweet 16, but the Georgetown defense should be able to slow down Durant.

#5 USC Trojans (23-11, 11-7 Pac-10)

What to Like: Freshman forward Taj Gibson scores 11.8 per game and pulls down 8.3 boards a contest, as four starters score in double figures led by Nick Young with 17.1. They are dominant defensively, allowing teams to shoot a paltry 39 percent from the field.

What not to Like: They got blown out by 24 points in the Pac-10 title game and that can’t be a good lead-in to the Big Dance. There is not a lot to rely upon on the bench.

Last until...They’ll get past the Razorbacks but Kevin Durant is an entirely different story. Tim Floyd and the rest of the Trojans will be enjoying the fun and sun of southern Cal after one contest.

#6 Vanderbilt Commodores (20-11, 10-6 SEC)

What to Like: A pair of big guards that can shoot the lights out. Derrick Byars is 6-foot-7 and Shan Foster is 6-foot-6 and each scores more than 15 per game. They spread the floor and attack opposing defenses with a potent three-point barrage.

What not to Like: They ranked 11th out of 12 in the SEC in rebounding and last in blocked shots. The only problem with a team that relies on the three is that it doesn’t always fall.

Last until...A lot of people think they were ranked too high and I think that losing to Arkansas in back-to-back games to end the season may have rattled the Commodores. I like GW to knock out Vandy in the first round.

#7 Boston College Eagles (20-11, 10-6 ACC)

What to Like: ACC Player of the Year Jared Dudley can shoot the ball from anywhere on the court and can beat you off the dribble. Dudley averages 19.3 points, 8.5 rebounds and three assists per game. He’s connected on 60 percent of his shots from the floor, including 47 percent from long distance.

What not to Like: They lost five of their last seven games and despite big bodies they have trouble outrebounding teams.

Last until...They’ll get past Texas Tech but former Big East rival Georgetown will knock out the Eagles.

#8 Marquette Golden Eagles (24-9, 11-7 Big East)

What to Like: Tom Crean is an excellent coach that learned the tricks of the trade from Tom Izzo. Sophomore guard Dominic James is a dominating talent on the court (14.9 ppg, 4.9 apg).

What not to Like: They are a young team and sophomore guard Jerel McNeal is questionable with a sprained right thumb. The lack of consistency includes losing five of their last eight and an early season loss to North Dakota State.

Last until...Izzo gets the best of his protégé in the first round.

#9 Michigan State Spartans (22-11, 8-8 Big Ten)

What to Like: The experience of Tom Izzo and Drew Neitzel. Neitzel has the capability to take over a game if he gets hot. Izzo has brought the Spartans to four Final Fours in the last eight seasons. They held teams to 56.7 points per game as opponents hit just 38 percent of their shots from the field.

What not to Like: They’ve lost three of their last four games, including to Michigan.

Last until...They’ll get past Marquette in the first round, but a date with the Tar Heels looms large. The Spartans will keep the game close, but UNC will be too much to overcome in the second round.


#10 Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-12, 9-7 Big 12)

What to Like: The General. If anybody can get a team ready to play a big game it’s Bob Knight. He’s got an excellent shooting team (41.6 percent from beyond the arc for fourth in the country) and the Red Raiders are great at forcing teams into making mistakes.

What not to Like: They’ve got no interior size and the team isn’t very deep.

Last until...Dudley causes Knight to burst a blood vessel. The Red Raiders will be back in Lubbock soon.

#11 George Washington Colonials (23-8, 11-5 A-10)

What to Like: They have a dynamic backcourt with Carl Elliott and Maureece Rice and have a nose for the ball.

What not to Like: They got lucky to be here, as Xavier and UMass were both gone from the title game. The only good team they beat all season was Virginia Tech.

Last until...They’ve been to this dance before and have experience. The Colonials are my upset special in this bracket, but their dream comes to an end in the second round.

#12 Arkansas Razorbacks (21-13, 7-9 SEC)

What to Like: Freshman guard Patrick Beverly leads a team that has four starters that score in double figures. Nobody in America thinks they deserve to be playing in the tourney.

What not to Like: This team has underachieved all season, losing to South Carolina, Georgia and Missouri.

Last until...They realize that USC doesn’t just play football.

#13 New Mexico State Aggies (25-8, 11-5 WAC)

What to Like: A solid full-court press that wreaks havoc on opposing offenses. They go seven-deep with mostly juniors and seniors.

What not to Like: Their halfcourt defense leaves something to be desired. Once teams break the press they can get open looks.

Last until...Kevin Durant wins the opening tip.

#14 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (23-10, 12-2 Mid-Continent)

What to Like: Senior forward and three-time conference Player of the Year Caleb Green led the league in scoring (20.8 ppg) and rebounding (9.3 rpg). That and they also went into Allen Fieldhouse and beat Kansas, 78-71.

What not to Like: If guard Ken Tutt or Green have an off night it’s blowout city.

Last until...Could be dangerous with a lot of upperclassmen but will fall in the opener.

#15 Belmont Bruins (23-9, 14-4 Atlantic Sun)

What to Like: The Bruins have three players that are 6-10 or taller and that resulted in 37.4 rebounds per game.

What not to Like: They turn the ball over almost as often as they dish out the helpers.

Last until...Their big men may slow down Hibbert, but how do they stop Green? Belmont’s out after one.

#16 Eastern Kentucky Colonels (21-11, 13-7 Ohio Valley)

What to Like: The Colonels sank 258 threes, ranking them 35th in the country for the most made shots from beyond the arc.

What not to Like: Their lack of any inside presence or shooting 68 percent from the free throw line.

Last until...UNC is safe.